Bright Blue reflections

February 16, 2012 by
Filed under: Politics 


The other night I was asked to speak to members of Bright Blue which seems to be a virtual think tank committed to progressive conservativism. I found myself in the upstairs room of a pub talking to about forty people ranging from the kind I had expected – young, ambitious Tories of an ideological disposition which was in Margaret Thatcher’s time described as ‘wet’, to a couple of surprising faces, not only the great Sir Samuel Brittan but wasn’t that Yasmin Alibhai-Brown  I saw sneaking in half way through?

Anyway, enough with the name dropping; Bright Blue asked me to speak for a few minutes on the subject of a Coalition political scorecard after twenty months in office. It’s a pity to prepare material and only use it once, so in my current psychologically enfeebled state I hope I will be forgiven reheating the main points for this post.

Four Coalition strengths:

David Cameron – Although he hasn’t managed Tony Blair’s initial achievement of reaching right across the social spectrum, the Prime Minister is an effective political leader. Most voters are willing to listen to him and feel that when he comes on the scene an issue is more likely to be gripped. He has also managed to keep a reasonable hold of his often fractious Party.

The Coalition – It’s not perfect but it works. If anything voters like the occasional rows, feeling reassured that different views are heard in Government.    Nick Clegg’s brave willingness to sacrifice his Party’s and his own popularity in favour for the bigger prize of the Liberals becoming a credible Party of Government for the first time in three generations is commendable.

Austerity – Whatever one thinks of the policy and its impact, George Osborne has managed to retain a remarkable degree of public acquiescence to his bitter medicine. Labour’s inability to find an effective way to respond is one to two big reasons why they are still in doldrums.

Localism – It’s patchy, it’s incoherent and it mainly comprises the freedom to cut, but nevertheless localism is real and if we get good mayors in big cities it could become an irreversible shift.

Four Coalition weaknesses:

NHS – Not so much the policy (although that’s a mess) but the unbelievable hubris of gleefully knocking down a whole edifice and trying to build a new one (with a reduced budget) when all that was needed was to convert the loft and knock though a couple of walls – similar to when Frank Dobson dismantled the NHS internal market only for Alan Milburn to rebuild it.

Strategy – On the Big Society, on commissioning, payment by results and social impact bonds, and on the question of how one earth Whitehall is going to directly manage 2,000 schools; the lack of clarity reflects a tendency in some government circles to believe the very idea of strategy is ideologically unsound.

In touch – whether or not the austerity package is right (and Labour’s alternative is only a marginal shift) it is unquestionably hitting the poor and lower middle class hardest. At such a time it is vital for the Government to look as though they understand and care. Given the social background of most of the Conservative hierarchy it is perhaps unsurprising that few lower income votes think they do.

Hope for Britain – we know we have to go through pain because of past excess but it needs also to be to achieve some better future. The Coalition has not been good at articulating what this future is. The fact that we don’t even know the shape of country in which we will be living doesn’t help (I wrote this before Mr Cameron’s speech today so it may need some reappraisal).

So, here my four ticks and four crosses. Any other offers?

Share

Comments

5 Comments on Bright Blue reflections

  1. Nick on Thu, 16th Feb 2012 3:27 pm
  2. Environment is the fifth X. The polices themself have been a mixed bag – credit for example for the natural environment white paper, sticking to the core of the Climate Change Act and bringing in minimum energy efficiency standards for private rented homes (from 2018), debit for national planning policy framework and feed in tariff fiascos. However, the X is for the language and positioning – relegating environment back to a marginal issue, rather than a core part of a decent future (q.v. Hope for Britain)

  3. Russell Webster on Thu, 16th Feb 2012 3:46 pm
  4. I agree on the first three ticks and don’t feel I can award them for the reason you give – there’s no real intent. My main cross is your second one. With the best will in the world, I do not have a clue about what this government wants to do – except open up the public sector to private competition.

  5. Derfel Owen on Thu, 16th Feb 2012 4:59 pm
  6. Pretty good summary. I would add ‘stable Government’ to the tick list. For two reasons, Cameron has not tinkered with ministers or ministries unless forced to which gives civil servants and politicians time to bed down and get to know their briefs.

    I think the open disagreements has actually reassured the public that the Government is taking decisions seriously and listening to a broad range of views. I think they should make more of this.

    A cross would be tinkering with things that should be left alone. AV Referendum, House of Lords reform, NHS legislation (most of the reforms didn’t need legislation) and HE Bill (yet another set of policies that did not need legislation to enact!)

  7. Carl Allen on Fri, 17th Feb 2012 12:47 pm
  8. Since prolonged pain is still in the making for many, the 20 months in office reflection is inevitably looked at in your

    “Hope for Britain – we know we have to go through pain because of past excess but it needs also to be to achieve some better future. The Coalition has not been good at articulating what this future is. The fact that we don’t even know the shape of country in which we will be living doesn’t help (I wrote this before Mr Cameron’s speech today so it may need some reappraisal).”

    But once again and perhaps for the last time, an fracking energy event around shale gas deposits may save the day or alleviate the coming pain.

    Nonetheless, what can Cameron articlulate since he knows not the answers much less the solutions?

  9. Ian Christie on Sun, 19th Feb 2012 7:48 pm
  10. Agree with the list but endorse Nick ‘s comment – the pledge to be the Greenest Government Ever is now incredible, sad to say. This is a surprise, since one expected the Greening of the Tories to be more substantial than it has proved to be, and since the LibDems have traded on an environmentalist image for years. The potential for an economic renewal based on a Green overhaul of infrastructure and innovation strategy has been missed, but it is one of the few plausible stories that can be told about a positive long-range vision for the UK that meets the challenges of the current crisis. Politically it makes little sense for the Liberals not to press for policies to back up the GGE commitment, and in a tight general election the pro-environment vote could be significant.

Tell me what you're thinking...
and oh, if you want a pic to show with your comment, go get a gravatar!